Thursday, August 10, 2017

SEPTEMBER 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the September 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the final Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

NOTE: Please be sure to read our Post, "What does the August Visa Bulletin Mean?"

September 2017 Visa Bulletin

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
01JAN12
01JAN12 
C
C
EB-2
01JAN16
15MAY13
22AUG08 
01JAN16
01JAN16
EB-3
01JAN12
15OCT06 

01NOV15       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The slight retrogression is temporary and will revert back to Current in October 2017.  The EB-3 progression has long been effectively current, and is, in fact, current in this Bulletin.

China (mainland-born):   The DOS instituted a retrogression for China EB-1 with the June Visa Bulletin, which remains.  The continued high level of demand for EB-1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for June. It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

The China EB-2 date again moved up, by about one month. The DOS recently noted that there has been an extremely large increase in EB-3s during the past month. The China EB-3 date remains at January 2012, which is where it was in July.  It is now slower than China EB-2. 

India:  As with China, India EB-1 now is retrogressed.  It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 


EB-2 India moved ahead by a month.  EB-3 India jumped into late 2006, which was a pleasant surprise.  The DOS is clearly trying to ensure that all visa numbers are used in FY2016. 

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead to November 2015!  This is yet another incredible  progression.   The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010 through 2015 EB-3 visas in less than one year.  This is even more positive than we expected.  

Our internal metrics see the Philippine EB-3 number continuing to progress at a rapid clip for the rest of 2017.


The retrogression of the EB-2 (Phils) number is nothing to be concerned about.  It will return to Current in October 2017.  Note that all EB-2s retrogressed, which reflects heavier demand than usual in the entirety of the EB-2 category.  

44 comments:

  1. With the new VB, for Philippines EB-3, when do you think May 2016 PD will become current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. How about for April 2017 PD? Thank you!

      Delete
  2. Dear MU
    EB-2 India PD Nov 2010, when do you expect it to be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unfortunately I do not think until 2019-2020.

      Delete
    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    3. Wow thats a very long time :(
      I have an approved I -140 with company A and currently working for company B, which is yet to initiate my GC process.

      1. If I return to company A in near future to same/ or a different location will they be able to file for I -485, when dates become current, as I have an approved I-140 with them already, or would they have to file for I-140 again.

      2. How soon should I initiate my GC with company B to be able to file for I- 485 in time for PD to become current?

      Delete
    4. Hi Being Mindful,
      Yes- it is unfortunately a long time.

      My replies:

      1. Company would not, in most instance, have to refile an I-140. Of course you should check with that company and/or their/your attorney.

      2. I would start now. No time like the present!

      Delete
    5. Thank you for the inputs. I appreciate your willingness to guide us 😊

      Delete
  3. Hi MU
    the dates of filing for EB3 Philippines in the September 2017 Visa bulletin is January 1, 2016 so it's not possible for the priority date for October 2017 VB to go beyond the dates of filing. Meaning it will not go beyond January 1 2016? Is this right ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Where did you get that info from?

      Delete
    2. Check the September 2017 VB for EB3 Philippines; Final Action Date: November 1, 2015
      Dates if Filing Application:,January 1, 2016

      Delete
    3. Hi CherryPie,

      I don't understand your question. The simplest thing to do is to ignore the Dates of Filing chart, which is why I don't publish it. It has little impact on when your case is called for an interview.

      Delete
    4. Hi MU,
      Maybe she was trying to predict what the Oct VB would be, based on the Sept VB dates of filing chart. It's a trend since they started publishing that dates for filing chart.
      In a nutshell, next month's final action date would not go beyond this month's dates for filing.
      I'm not sure if it's a reliable indicator though.

      Delete
    5. Hi MU & Och sei,

      Thanks for your response and clarification. It is highly appreciated.

      Delete
    6. Och Sei and Cherrypie:

      Thanks for the feedback. The October VB is important because it sets the expectation for the next fiscal year. I am optimistic that the Phils EB3 remains at about a 1.5-2.5 year retrogression for the upcoming fiscal year.

      Delete
    7. Sorry, I meant 1.5 - 2 year retrogression for Phils EB3.

      Delete
    8. But on your September 2017 VB analysis you said that Eb3 Philippines will move at a rapid clip for the remaining of the year. Charles Oppenheim did not make any comment on EB3 Philippines when he discussed with AILA the possible movement in FY 2018 did he? What would be the reason for retrogression?

      Delete
    9. I could only assume that MU meant that Philippines EB3 will not have the "C" designation, but a date.

      Delete
  4. Hi MU
    EB3 India ,PD July 2007.When do you expect it will be current

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It could be a long time. Summer 2007 was the Visa Gate period when hundreds of thousands of green cards were filed.

      Delete
  5. my pd is september 2006,India. i see it is current. i am rn in usa now. when can i file i-485
    thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes - you can probably file an I-485 on Sept 1. You will want to get to an attorney fast. Do not hesitate. There is a chance that there is an intermediate Visa Bulletin in mid-Sept which cuts of India EB-3.

      Delete
  6. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Our Sept 2016 VB thoughts are in the blog, Chiechies. As for the October 2017 VB. I am optimistic that we remain in a 1.5 - 2 year retrogression.

      Delete
  7. Hi Musillo, my priority date is Sep. 2016, when do you think it will be current? I'm on eb3 from Philippines. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hi MU,

    Do you think there will be a retrogression this upcoming october 2017 fir eb3 philippines? Do you thinki PD 2014 will be affected?

    Thanks,

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi MU,

    Do you think there would be a retrogression for EB3 PH in the near future?

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi Musillo,

    My PD which is June 30, 2015 is fortunately current this Sept 2017 VB. My question is, will there be a possibility of retrogression in Oct 2017 VB? I'm worried that my PD will no longer be current in the next months.

    Thank you very much and more power!!!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi Mu
    I am EB3 India and my pd is oct 2006 which is current now. Will it retrogrooss back again? what do u think? Pls answer me.. This is the third time I am preparing and at the end, no result. Pls help... Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  12. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  13. Hello Musillo,

    i am f2b from mexico, how many years you think it will take to get my green card?... thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hi MU law!!! Im from the philippines. My EB3 PD is april 11,2017. Any chance my PD will be current? Thank you so much!

    ReplyDelete
  15. Hai MU Law.
    My priority dates is 7th November 2006 EB 3 India.Could u please tell me when it will be current.
    Thank u

    ReplyDelete
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