Tuesday, June 16, 2020

JULY 2020 VISA BULLETIN: PROGRESS FOR PHILS AND WW EB-3


The Department of State has just issued the July 2020 Visa Bulletin. This is the tenth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

July 2020 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
C
22AUG17
08MAY17
C
2nd
C
08NOV15
08JUL09
C
3rd
15APR18
22JUN16
01JUN09
15APR18

MU Law Analysis

This Visa Bulletin continued the big progressions that we saw in the June Visa Bulletin.  MU Law has been calling on the DOS to rapidly advance the dates so that all immigrant visas are used in 2020.  Many visas appear that they will go unused without this progression. 

The Worldwide EB-3 dates moved almost six months are now at April 2018, as is the Philippines EB-3.  We continue to expect big progressions in these categories for the August and September VBs because very few visas were used due to the global shutdown caused by COVID-19.

The Indian EB-3 dates moved ahead two months.  It continues to move at a quicker rate than we have seen in years.  India EB-2 even advanced a month.  China EB-2 and EB-3 advanced by one week.  We might see continued progressions of a few weeks or months in these categories for the rest of the fiscal year.

The EB-1 movements were also reassuring.  As was the case last month, India EB-1 progressed another 10 months, reflecting reduced demand.  China EB-1 advanced by a week, as the DOS remains concerned about pending demand.  Limited progressions in EB-1 and EB-2 categories in the future could mean that more visa numbers flow down to EB-3, which would mean more advancement.

55 comments:

  1. When do you estimate October/November 2019 PDs to become current considering the recent trend in the VBs and other factors like the pandemic and the upcoming HWRA, attorney?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I could see the Phils EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August. If the HWRA is enacted, everything is, of course, current for RNs and MDs.

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  2. Hi Chris!
    Are there any looming retrogression before the fiscal year of 2020 ends? I'm an EB-3 RN applicant in the Philippines with a priority date of June 26, 2018.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No - I only think that the Phils EB-3 moves forward, not backward through this FY.

      Delete
  3. Hi cris. When do you think will I be current if my PD is July 18, 2018? Will the issues of 221g cases in the Philippines US embassg be resolved? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I could see the Phils EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August. You should contact your attorney on the 221g. The 221gs have to be handled on a case by case basis.

      Delete
  4. Hi Chris!

    Do you have an estimate as to when will January 2019 become current? Im in the EB3 Philippines category. Thank you for tour insight.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I could see the Phils EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August. Jan 2019 might happen this FY.

      Delete
  5. Hello Sir, do you think there will be a possibility for ROW EB3 PD Oct 12 2018 to become current before the new fiscal year? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. As with Phils EB3, I could see the ROW EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August.

      Delete
  6. hi atty. why does india moves so fast than their average?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. they said its because Embassy has been closed and no visa issuance recently so VB needs to be publish either way based on inventory i think.

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  7. Hi Atty. Musillo! Do you think that the issue in the Manila embassy has been resolved by now? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think so, but (1) you should contact your attorney about 221g and (2) we will not know for sure until the embassy re-opens.

      Delete
  8. Hi Chris,
    When do you think Sept 6,2018 be current?
    Thanks in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi were on the same boat. I have a feeling that VB progression possibly will slow down once Embassies starts operating. 3 things to consider 1 end of fiscal year usually results to retrogression or no movements this is bcs visa allotment has been exhausted
      2 No visa issuance recently due to covid lock down therefore more visa availability
      3 New fiscal year starts in october

      my conclusion:
      Our PD will be current august or September but 100% sure in October however, when do we get an interview? that will be a BIG QUESTION to think about the huge backlogs probably December or 2021 :( Unless they prioritize health worker interviews

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    2. I could see the Phils EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August.

      Delete
  9. Hi, Chris--EB2 India -August 28,2009... can I hope to get current October 2020 visa bulletin? Its been a long wait

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I REALLY hope so. You have been stuck in this process for too long.

      Delete
  10. hi chris! is the issue of ph embassy for 221G already resolved?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think so, but (1) you should contact your attorney about 221g and (2) we will not know for sure until the embassy re-opens.

      Delete
  11. will there still be progression for next VB if the ph embassy is still cancelling the interviews for immigrants visas??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I had the same thinking No interviews = No visas issued therefore VB progression
      What if Visa interviews resume and 221g cases approval = visa issuance then possible retrogression again?

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    2. keep in mind that nurses are only exenoted profession to the us ban

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    3. Yes- I still expect progressions in the VB.

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    4. @lovely yes that is true but how about family based and H1b and other non immigrant visa categories? chances are visa interview for current will be scheduled within 6 mos or longer. God i hope not its gonna take soo long LOL

      Delete
  12. Good day, Atty!

    I would like to ask when do you think Dec. 03, 2018 PD will be current? Given the fact that come September, a retrogression is expected since its the end of the FY.

    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I could see the Phils EB-3 move toward the end of 2018 in August.

      Delete
  13. Hi MU,

    ​I attended the GC interview after downgrading(EB2 to EB3) after the filing dates for eb3 was favorable. The Field Officer who was interviewing me was referring to my EB2 app for the entire interview. I told him I'm EB3. He mentioned he will send GC whatever dates become current? My dates are now current for July under Eb2 INDIA. Should I expect a GC? Is it possible for them to give me a GC even without letting USCIS letting us know about the interfile option? Appreciate your response

    Thanks
    Vijay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should contact the embassy once we reach July 1. Good luck!

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    2. BTW, USCIS does not need to be notified. This can be solved entirely at the embassy.

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    3. Thanks for the reply MU.But I'm inside the US and not outside and I attended the interview here in US Field office.

      Delete
  14. will there still be progression for next VB if the ph embassy is still cancelling the interviews for immigrants visas??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes - there should still be a progression.

      Delete
  15. Hi Atty. I will just ask the possibility of becoming current before the fiscal year ends. Priority date is Novemebr 13, 2018 under EB3 category Philippines. Thank you and hope everyone there is OK amidst this pandemic.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes- I think that it is more likely than not that you are current in August.

      Delete
    2. Thank you very Sir Chris. Always been updated bacause of your blog. More power to the team.

      Delete
    3. Thanks for the nice words, Bryan.

      Delete
  16. What's your basis in saying that there is an expected retrogression by September?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Its a common trend to have a retro when the Fiscal year ends on September. But it will progress again on the start of the new fiscal which is in October where the pool of visas will replenish to its maximum limit.

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    2. @Bin: See this blog. However I do not think this will happen this year. http://www.musillo.com/2016/07/what-does-august-visa-bulletin-mean.html

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  17. great day Atty Chris! If the HWRA be enacted this year, do you think it will somehow indirectly benefit other Filipino HCWs like us who are waiting for our PDs to be current because nurses will have their own visa allocation and will no longer compete with the PH eb3 visa allocation .? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes - this will be a nice tangential benefit of the HWRA.

      Delete
  18. Hi Chris! A lot of people are anticipating a huge visa spillover to the EB category next fiscal year which will come from the unused family based visas this year. Assuming that the spillover will actually happen, do you think that EB3 Phils will benefit from this? Or the spillover will just go to the most backlogged country? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes- this could be very good news. I will have more information on this in a future blog post.

      Delete
  19. Hello Atty Any idea how slow will the scheduling of the interviews once Embassy Opens? You think they will prioritize visa interviews for health workers? any insight is appreciated thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have heard that they will recommence in July. They are supposed to prioritize healthcare workers.

      Delete
  20. Hi atty,
    What would be your prediction october to december visa bulletin ? Would it retrogress again or keep on moving forward ?

    ReplyDelete
  21. Hello atty...
    I just want to ask if you happen to know how the Philippine US embassy will work on the physical exam and interview of nurses under eb3 when domestic flights are cancelled and there are a lot of nurses like me who are from provinces and still have to travel to manila for the PE and interview. Thanks a lot.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You will still need to get to the embassy and get to the medical exam. Your interview will have to be cancelled or postponed if you cannot attend.

      Delete
  22. Hi Attorney Musillo! When do you think will EB-3 Philippines with September 2019 priority date become current? Thank you and more power!

    ReplyDelete
  23. I would like to ask if there is a chance that the VB for EB3 Philippines will advance to September 2019 before the end FY 2020?

    ReplyDelete
  24. Also are we going to know this July if HWRA will become a law?

    ReplyDelete