Monday, January 14, 2019

FEBRUARY 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the February 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the fifth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

February 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
01DEC17
08FEB17
08FEB17
01DEC17
EB-2
C
01OCT15
06APR09 
C
EB-3
C
01JUL15
22APR09 
01AUG17    

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
01JUN18
01OCT17
01OCT17
01JUN18
EB-2
C
01NOV15
22MAY09 
C
EB-3
01JAN16
01APR10 

01OCT17      

MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: As we expected, the EB-1 category again moved several months.  We expect continued steady movement in this category for All Other.  We do not see any retrogression in the future for EB2 or EB3, other than the usual retrogression at the end of the Fiscal Year.

China: Likewise, the China EB-1 category progressed several months. This category may not move as fast as All Other in the next few Visa Bulletins.  China EB-2 moved two months.  EB-3 only moved a few weeks, reflecting continued high demand.  Still, we expect EB-3 to slightly outpace EB-2 in the next few Visa Bulletins.

India: India EB-2 moved by just one week. EB-3 progressed by six weeks.  We expect the slow/no progress to be standard for EB-2 in the first part of FY 2019.  We are slightly more optimistic about India EB-3, which could continue to progress faster than EB-2.

Philippines: The EB-3 date showed steady progress, improving by six weeks. Over the course of FY2019, we should eventually see the EB-3 priority date extend into FY2018.

19 comments:

  1. Sir, how about October 30 PD? When is ur prediction to be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What year and what category?

      Delete
    2. Sorry incomplete information. October 30,2017 EB3 Sir. Thank u

      Delete

    3. Sorry incomplete information. PH October 30,2017 EB3 Sir. Thank u

      Delete
  2. Hi! What is your prediction on EB3 Philippines PD June 2018 to be current? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Musillo, would April 2018 Eb3 Philippines have a chance to be current this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is a chance but I dont think that it is likely.

      Delete
  4. Hi Musillo, for PD Aug.27,2017 Eb3 Philippines,will it be current on next month visa bulletin? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes- I think that it is likely current in the March VB!

      Delete
  5. How about sir for pd sept 11,2017 eb3 phil, will it also be current on march vb? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hello MU. What about sir Oct 5,2017 eb3 philippines. When do u think it will be current? based on the recent visa bulletin. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In the next few VBs you should be current.

      Delete
  7. How about feb.12,2018? When it is likely to be current? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  8. What is the prediction for PD May 2018, EB1, India

    ReplyDelete
  9. Good day Musillo Unkenholt Law! Can I ask for your prediction for PD Aug 1 2018 EB3 Philippines. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete