Friday, June 9, 2017

JULY 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the June 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the ninth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

July 2017 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
01JAN12
01JAN12 
C
C
EB-2
22MAR13
22JUL08 
C
C
EB-3
08JUN17 
01JAN12
15FEB06 
08JUN17 

15MAY14       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 progression continues to be effectively current.

China (mainland-born):   The DOS instituted a retrogression for China EB-1 with the June Visa Bulletin.  The continued high level of demand for EB-1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for June. It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 


The China EB-2 date again moved up, but only a few weeks.  The DOS notes that there has been an extremely large increase in EB-3s during the past month. The China EB-3 date retrogressed.  It is now slower than China EB-2. This was predicted last month.

India:  As with China, India EB-1 now is retrogressed.  It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

EB-2 India moved up about two weeks.  EB-3 India jumped into 2006, which is a pleasant surprise.  It is not what we expected.  The DOS is clearly trying to ensure that all visa numbers are used in FY2016. 

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead one full year!  The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, and half of 2014 EB-3 visas in about 7 months.  This is even more positive than we expected.  (Our note from September 2016"This is consistent with internal MU Law analysis which sees this category progressing into 2013 by the Summer of 2017.").  

Our internal metrics see the Philippine EB-3 number continuing to progress at a rapid clip for the rest of 2017.

53 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  2. Hi MU Law,

    Do you think that EB 3 Philippines PD June 2016 will be current soon or by next year?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I do think that it will be current in 2018.

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  3. Hello MU Law,

    This is truly wonderful. One year of movement!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree. It was more positive than we could have hoped for!

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  4. hi mu law been always reading your blog.. thank you so much for this blog. my pd is may 2015 under eb3 phil. does it have a possibility that it will be current this year? thanks for your reply

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi mm, Thanks for the support.
      Yes- I do think that there is a real possibility that you will be current in 2017.

      Delete
  5. MU Law,

    Hi! This EB-3 Philippines jump is even better! I will be current by next month.

    What is the average time now from being current up to receiving the green card in the mail?
    Is it still 2-4 months? Or is USCIS backed up at this time? My friend filed I-485 last November and was told the the card might arrive by next month or on August. That's a pretty long wait.

    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Concerned,

      Yes - Great news! If you are in the US, it take about 4-8 months from the filing of the I-485 until the receipt of the GC. However, we often see the processing time speed up in Aug/Sept because the government wants to make sure that the GC is issued in the correct fiscal year.

      Delete
  6. Hi MU law,

    My PD is June 30, 2015, with this movement do you think it will be current this year? Thank you very much!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My PD is under EB3 Philippines. Thank you

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    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    3. Hi D Roach - My sense is that it could very well be current in 2017, or early 2018.

      Delete
  7. No more US green card for me or my family. Waited as a Physical Therapist on EB-2 India since July 2009. Moving to Canada as permanent resident in 2 months

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Simon, I'm sorry to hear that. America is worse for the long retrogression for Indian natives. You can of course move to Canada and maintain the US GC if your employer will allow it.

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    2. Thank you. I will be in touch in the next few days with my employer

      Delete
  8. MU Law, Thank you so much for this wonderful update! Do you think that with this rapid movement, will there be no visa retrogressions in the future? May I also know when do you think it will reach PD 2015?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Maxine, I'm optimistic that Phil EB3 will move into 2015 before the year is out.

      Delete
  9. Thank you MU Law! More power to you!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Good day MU!

    I would just like to inquire regarding my case. My priority date is May 21, 2014 under EB3 Philippines. Based from the Dates for Filing of Employment-Based Visa Applications Chart, the application date was July 1, 2014. Do I have to receive first an email from NVC or from my employer instructing me to submit documents or to start completing DS-261/260?

    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If i may, you only use dates for filing chart if DoS says so. Otherwise, final action dates chart will be used.

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    2. Overseas applicants should essentially ignore the DOF chart and only rely on the Final Action chart. The DOF chart if for the NVC.

      Delete
  11. Hi MU,

    Good day! My PD of 5/8/14 EB3PH is finally current this VB. I completed my DS260 last sept 2015 when they were still accepting documents even though EB3 PH retrogressed. Do you think I would need to submit a new DS260 before they schedule me for the embassy interview? Also, how long after the PD becomes current do they schedule the interview?

    Thank you very much and more power!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Nero, No - you do not need to resubmit to the NVC. The embassy should set up your interview shortly.

      Delete
  12. May I know if will there be another Visa retrogression in the future?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We generally see a short retrogression in Aug/Sept. See: http://www.musillo.com/2016/07/what-does-august-visa-bulletin-mean.html

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    2. Hi MU Law,

      Do you think there will be a retrogression that will happen this august visa bulletin for eb3 phil?

      Delete
  13. Atty. MU,

    My name is Dell from Philippines, RN. My priority date is Nov 2015 and currently residing here in the US. Which chart should I check the Final Action Date or the Date of Filing for my Adjustment of Status. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Dell, If you are lawfully in the US, then you can file an I-485 when the DOF chart is current for your category.

      Delete
  14. Thanks Atty. I am currently on F1 and just waiting for the priority date. So i need to check for the DOF chart and not the Final Action Date.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Correct - check the DOF chart.

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    2. Aren't we supposed to check if DoS says we can use the DoF chart, without regards to whether the applicant is in the US or not?

      Delete
  15. Hi MU Law,

    My PD is dec 2014, will it be current next month Aug? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It might be. We will know approx. July 10.

      Delete
  16. Hi Sir

    I am an EB3-1 current in July visa bulletin. still I have n't received any information from NVC ie. DS-261 mail. When I will get this mail from NVC? ie. in july or this month itself?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. u nid to wait for your PD to be current

      Delete
  17. Hi MU,

    Do you think this time around, the PD in the Philippines for Feb 2016 will be current this year or early 2018?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  18. I have eb3 philippines with pd of march 12,2015. Based on DOF, can I file for the AOS now since I'm here in the US with status?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unfortunately the USCIS has not allowed use of the DOF chart for AOS filings for July 2017. https://www.uscis.gov/visabulletininfo

      Delete
  19. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  20. Hi mu,my pd is nov 2015 eb3 phil when do you think it will be current?i have nvc case number already i want to transfer my interview from jerusalem to manila do you think it will cause delay of my schedule interview?thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. The transfer will delay the processing.

      Delete
  21. Do you think a retrogression will hit smetime in the near future? Like, say 2018?

    ReplyDelete
  22. I am from India EB-3 pd is Aug 2016. Do sir possible to get the G.C in the month of Aug or Sept?

    Thanks for your suggestions.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Hi,
    Mine is EB2 India PD 2009 Mar.
    Any idea when will it become current.

    ReplyDelete
  24. نقدم خدمات تنظيف المجالس بالرياض وتنظيف الخزانات ايضاً اولاً سوف نعرض لكم
    افضل شركة تنظيف مجالس بالرياض

    وتفاصيلها تلك الشركة تقدم خدمات بعمالة تملتلك كل الكفائة التى تجعلهم يسيطرون على المملكة ويكونو من حيتان التنظيف فى الرياض هم يمتلكون الخبرة الكاملة عن النظافة المنزلية والخدمات الاخرى هى تنظيف خزانات شركة تنظيف خزانات بالاحساء
    تلك ايضاً خدمة من احسن الخدمات جودة وهى نقوم بتنفيذها عن طريق تواجدنا فى الاحساء فقط بالعمالة المهارية المعتمد عليها من قبل ركن سيف وهى افضل العمالة كفائة كذالك
    نقدم ايضاً : شركة تنظيف خزانات بالقطيف


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  25. hi, mu i have EB3 visa application in the Philippines and my priority date is JUNE 30, 2017 with this movement is it possible that it will become current this year? THank you.

    ReplyDelete