Wednesday, May 10, 2017

JUNE 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the June 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the eight Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

June 2017 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

Employ-
ment
based
All Charge-
ability 
Areas Except
Those Listed
CHINA-
mainland 
born
INDIA
MEXICO  
PHILIPPINES  
1st
C
01JAN12
01JAN12
C
C
2nd
01MAR13
01JUL08
C
C
3rd
15APR17 
01OCT14
15MAY05 
15MAR17 
01MAY13


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 progression continues, moving an additional one month.  Consular processed EB-3 are effectively current.

China:   The DOS has instituted a retrogression for China EB-1.  The continued high level of demand for EB-1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for June. It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

The China EB-2 date again moved up, but only a few weeks.  The DOS notes that there has been an extremely large increase in EB-3s during the past month. The China EB-3 date is being held for the month of June. Continued heavy demand for numbers will require a retrogression of China EB-3  no later than August.

India:  As with China, India EB-1 now is retrogressed.  It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

EB-2 India moved up about two weeks.  EB-3 India actually moved up almost two months.  It is our expectation that these two categories will move very slowly in the foreseeable future. 

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead by yet another four more months.  The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010, 2011, 2012, and half of 2013 EB-3 visas in about 6 months.  This is even more positive than we expected.  (Our note from September 2016"This is consistent with internal MU Law analysis which sees this category progressing into 2013 by the Summer of 2017.").  

34 comments:

  1. Hi MU Law,

    More power to you! I'm in EB3 Philippines and has a PD of August 2015. When do you think it will be current given that its moving more than you expected?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi MU Law,

    1. Do you think this 4-month movement for EB-3 Philippines will continue until the end of this fiscal year?
    2. Based on your experience, once the PD becomes current, how many months more to wait until we get the actual green card in the mail?
    3. It has been almost 4 months after filing the I-485 before the EB-3 Philippines retrogressed. If ever the PD becomes current again, do you think the wait time will be shorter, maybe just a couple of months, since 4 months had already passed while it was current the last time?

    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. yes - I do.
      2. 2-4 months.
      3. unfortunately probably not.

      Delete
  3. Hello MU law!

    When do you think Dec 2014 PD will be current based on the June 2017 visa bulletin? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Janness: Mid/end of 2018.

      Delete
    2. Hi sir, is typo error? Could it be mid/end 2017? Thank you

      Delete
    3. Sorry- I think Phils EB3 is probably mid/end 2017, not 2018. You are correct it was a typo.

      Delete
  4. Hi MU law. Can we expect 2016 PDs on maybe mid-late 2018?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For Phils EB-3? No. More like mid/late 2020.

      Delete
  5. MU law thank you for your analysis!more power!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks for the kind words and your readership.

      Delete
  6. Hi MU,
    If our PD becomes current how many months do we have to wait for our interview? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hi. My PD is March 2015, EB3 Philippines. When do you think it will be current? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hello. My PD is Feb 2015. When it will be current? Thanks😉

    ReplyDelete
  9. I just want to ask if how long will it take to transfer embassy interview from Philippines to Abu Dhabi once priority date is current? Thank you very much:) God bless:)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It can take many months. We usually advise that oen does not change the Post for the interview.

      Delete
  10. Hi my PD is feb 2016 (Philippines). When do you think will it become current? THANKS in advance

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hello MU Law, when do you think June/July 2017 PD become current? Can we expect it by end of 2018? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  12. Hello,

    I have Philippines EB3 with a Priority Date of 11 Sep 2014. That is 17 months from the date in the June bulletin.

    1. Is it safe to assume that the bulletin will move forward 3 months in each bulletin and that I can expect to be current in December 2017?

    2. Do you think the bulletin can move forward even faster than what I'm expecting?

    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi SK,

      1. The VB will slow in Aug/Sept. http://www.musillo.com/2016/07/what-does-august-visa-bulletin-mean.html

      2. It can, but I think that an average of 3 months is about right.

      Delete
    2. Thank you MU Law. That makes sense.

      Delete
  13. Hi MU,

    My PD is July 2016. Any idea when will it be current?

    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
  14. With your prediction, being it a 3-to-1 ratio, do you think eb3 for Philippines, with PD of May 2016 will be current by mid 2018?

    ReplyDelete
  15. My priority date in November 7th 2006.Any idea when it will be current?Any hope in middle of 2018
    Thank u

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete