AILA regularly
checks in with Charlie Oppenheim, who is the Department of State’s expert on
Visa Bulletin numbers. Their most recent
Check
In with Charlie contains his projections for several major visa categories.
EB-3 Philippines
The expectation is
that Philippines EB-3 VB date will continue to advance a few months at a time,
consistent with movement over the past few months. He “hopes” that the date will progress into
mid-2010 before the end of this fiscal year in September 2016.
There are currently
about 4,200 immigrant visas in the pending demand file. The Texas Service Center has 1,600, the Nebraska
Service Center has 1,200, and the US Consulate in Manila has 1,400.
Charlie expects EB2
Philippines to be current for the foreseeable future.
EB-2 and EB-3 India
Both India EB-2 and
EB-3 will move slowly forward, although because of unusual demand for EB-1 it
is difficult for Charlie to accurately predict movement in these categories. Normally, light demand for EB-1 numbers means
that unused EB-1s trickle down into the EB-2 category. The government is also seeing increased upgrade
demand, where previously approved EB-3s are now being re-field as EB-2s.
New Final Action
Date for EB-4 for El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras
The usual sight of
these countries appearing on the Visa Bulletin is because of demand for EB-4 Special
Immigrant Juvenile (SIJS) applicants.
While this means retrogression for these categories, it should have no
impact on the traditional EB-1, EB-2, or EB-3 categories in other countries.
EB-2 and EB-3
China
It will likely be
necessary to retrogress these categories due to increasing demand for these
immigrant visas.