Tuesday, April 19, 2016

DOS ADDRESSES EB-3 PHILIPPINES AND INDIA VISA BULLETIN RETROGRESSION

AILA regularly checks in with Charlie Oppenheim, who is the Department of State’s expert on Visa Bulletin numbers.  Their most recent Check In with Charlie contains his projections for several major visa categories.

EB-3 Philippines

The expectation is that Philippines EB-3 VB date will continue to advance a few months at a time, consistent with movement over the past few months.  He “hopes” that the date will progress into mid-2010 before the end of this fiscal year in September 2016.

There are currently about 4,200 immigrant visas in the pending demand file.  The Texas Service Center has 1,600, the Nebraska Service Center has 1,200, and the US Consulate in Manila has 1,400.

Charlie expects EB2 Philippines to be current for the foreseeable future.

EB-2 and EB-3 India

Both India EB-2 and EB-3 will move slowly forward, although because of unusual demand for EB-1 it is difficult for Charlie to accurately predict movement in these categories.  Normally, light demand for EB-1 numbers means that unused EB-1s trickle down into the EB-2 category.  The government is also seeing increased upgrade demand, where previously approved EB-3s are now being re-field as EB-2s.

New Final Action Date for EB-4 for El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras

The usual sight of these countries appearing on the Visa Bulletin is because of demand for EB-4 Special Immigrant Juvenile (SIJS) applicants.  While this means retrogression for these categories, it should have no impact on the traditional EB-1, EB-2, or EB-3 categories in other countries.

EB-2 and EB-3 China

It will likely be necessary to retrogress these categories due to increasing demand for these immigrant visas.

34 comments:

  1. hi MU law! does it mean we can expect movement of eb3 phils priority date to 2010 before this fiscal year?thank you and more power!

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  2. Yes - my sense is that EB3 Phils will progress to 2010 by this upcoming September.

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    1. thank u MU law! your response is very positive and sweet.more power!

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  3. Hi Mu Law, based on my scientific prediction April 6, 2009 PD will become current this coming July 10 which is the release of Aug VB. Tnx in advance and Gob Bless

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  4. @Emer: Ok. That sounds about right. Keep in mind that there are a lot of Phils EB3s that are probably zombie petitions, i.e. the immigrant no longer wants the visa. Also, keep in mind that the VB usually moves quicker int he summer months because it is the end of the US fiscal year.

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  5. Thanks for the prompt response MU Law. Looking forward for the summer hehehe. God Bless

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  7. Any movement in EB3 india when will PD July 2006 become current

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  8. @Ranjeesh, Unfortunately I think that it will be 2-3 years before India EB3 progresses to July 2006.

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  10. Hi Chris,
    When do you think my PD 2/1/2010 be current.under EB3 PHILIPPINES.
    Thanks

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    1. Hi Coco-
      I feel very confident that your date will be current sometime later in 2016.

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  12. Hi! My PD is Aug. 2015. Is there any prediction when this will be current. Thank you!

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    1. Hi Belle- What country are you? Are you EB3?

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    2. I am from Philippines. Yes I am EB3. Thank you!

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  13. Hi MU. My pd is nov 28, 2008. When do you think it will become current? Thanks much.:)

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  14. Hi MU. My pd is nov 28, 2008. When do you think it will become current? Thanks much.:)

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    1. Hi Rochellee- What country are you? India? Are you EB3?

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    2. Hi MU. Im under.eb3 philippines.tnx much

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    3. Hi MU. Im under.eb3 philippines.tnx much

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    4. Hi Rochellee- Good news! You will be current this summer.

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    5. That's good news indeed! Thabks mu. :)

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    6. That's good news indeed! Thabks mu. :)

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  15. Hi MU! My PD is May 21, 2015 EB3 Philippines. Do you think it would take more than 5 years before it becomes current? Thank you.

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    1. I think less than 5 years, but perhaps not much less.

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  16. hi mu...my pd is feb 2009...do you think my pd would be current this july 2016 visa bulletin??thanks

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  17. hi mu. my petition is completed and waiting for intrview date. apparently i gave the new info of my petitioner just recently but the same hospital employer..they sent new email that says "administrative processing" what doea it mean?. btw my priority date is june 8 2009. eb3 phils

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  18. hi mu. my petition is completed and waiting for intrview date. apparently i gave the new info of my petitioner just recently but the same hospital employer..they sent new email that says "administrative processing" what doea it mean?. btw my priority date is june 8 2009. eb3 phils

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  19. Hi mu! My pd is jan 2015. May I know when will my pd become current?

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  20. Hello may priority date is September 2014 do you have any idea when will my PD will be current? EB3 Phils. Thank you.

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