AILA regularly checks in with Charlie Oppenheim, who is the Department of State’s expert on Visa Bulletin numbers. Their most recent Check In with Charlie contains his projections for several major visa categories.
The expectation is that Philippines EB-3 VB date will continue to advance a few months at a time, consistent with movement over the past few months. He “hopes” that the date will progress into mid-2010 before the end of this fiscal year in September 2016.
There are currently about 4,200 immigrant visas in the pending demand file. The Texas Service Center has 1,600, the Nebraska Service Center has 1,200, and the US Consulate in Manila has 1,400.
Charlie expects EB2 Philippines to be current for the foreseeable future.
EB-2 and EB-3 India
Both India EB-2 and EB-3 will move slowly forward, although because of unusual demand for EB-1 it is difficult for Charlie to accurately predict movement in these categories. Normally, light demand for EB-1 numbers means that unused EB-1s trickle down into the EB-2 category. The government is also seeing increased upgrade demand, where previously approved EB-3s are now being re-field as EB-2s.
New Final Action Date for EB-4 for El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras
The usual sight of these countries appearing on the Visa Bulletin is because of demand for EB-4 Special Immigrant Juvenile (SIJS) applicants. While this means retrogression for these categories, it should have no impact on the traditional EB-1, EB-2, or EB-3 categories in other countries.
EB-2 and EB-3 China
It will likely be necessary to retrogress these categories due to increasing demand for these immigrant visas.