Thursday, December 19, 2019

JANUARY 2020 VISA BULLETIN: PREDICTIONS AND ANALYSIS



The Department of State has just issued the January 2020 Visa Bulletin. This is the fourth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

January 2020 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
15OCT18
22MAY17
01JAN15
01OCT18
2nd
C
01JUL15
18MAY09
C
3rd
C
01DEC15
01JAN09
15MAR18


MU Law Analysis

All Other: Although All Other EB-1 has a slight retrogression, the EB-2 and EB-3 categories remained current and are expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China: EB-2 did progress by three months.  The EB-2 and EB-3 each progressed about one month.  Over the course of FY2020 we expect EB-2 to catch up to EB-3 and the two categories to stay roughly equal.

India: As with China, the EB-2 and EB-3 dates remain inverted.  There was just three days’ progress in EB-2 and no progress in EB-3.  We continue to expect very little progress in either category in future months.

Philippines:  We remain surprised by the slow progress of EB-3.  The DOS indicates that the Philippine EB-3 will only be moving one month at a time for the next 3 calendar months, which is slower than our internal metric indicate should be happening.  We are no longer predicting as rosy progressions in early 2020.  

33 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  2. When do you think July 16 2018 PD will be current? Thank you.

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  3. Good day!
    I just want to get some insight about my case. My priority date will finally be current next month (jan. 2020) and I already get a notice of documetary qualified or case complete from NVC last June 2019, but since retrogression hits in August I was not given interview appointmnet. But now that my priority date will be current again by January, what are the chances that I can finally get an interview notice by January? Is that possible?
    Thank you and hoping for your kind response.

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    1. Yes- it is possible that you have an interview notice in January. Good luck.

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  4. Good day! Do you think that the whole year of 2018 will become current in the fiscal year 2020? And also regarding the Table B, does that mean it will not move forward until the next fiscal year 2021?

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    1. I would like to think that it will become current, but I am less confident than I was a month or two ago.

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  5. Hi musillo, my PD is June 2019 EB3 Philippines. Based on the movement, do you think that this may be current, sadly, on late 2022 or 2023?

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  6. Replies
    1. I would think before the end of FY20, or early FY 21.

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  7. do you think impeachment of trump will effect the movement of EB3 especialy in PH? will it progress the next VB? thanks

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    1. The impeachment will not have any impact at all.

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  8. How about January 2019? Thnx

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    1. I would think before the end of FY20, or early FY 21.

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  10. hi Atty. i would just like to ask if it is possible for those whose PD is November 2018 for EB3 Philippinesto become current in the fiscal year 2020? Thank you in advance.

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    1. I would think before the end of FY20, or early FY 21.

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  11. Hi. My PD is November 15 2018 EB3 Philippines. When do you think will I become current?

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  12. Hi Atty! Table B is in retrogression. Do you think it will move forward this current fiscal year?

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  13. Hi Atty! Do you think there will be a retrogression in EB 3 Philippines in the coming months of this FY? thanks

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    1. No retrogression. just slow movement. Hopefully!

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  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  15. Same question here for PD august 2018?

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  16. Sir, my priority date is April 2, 2018. Do you think there is any chance that my visa status will become current this coming February? Thank you.

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