Wednesday, November 20, 2019

DECEMBER 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS


The Department of State has just issued the December 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the third Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

December 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
15JUN18
15MAY17
01JAN15
01JUN18
2nd
C
22JUN15
15MAY09
C
3rd
C
01NOV15
01JAN09
01MAR18


MU Law Analysis

All Other: Although All Other EB-1 has a slight retrogression, the EB-2 and EB-3 categories remained current and are expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China: EB-2 did progress by three months.  The EB-2 and EB-3 remain inverted, in spite of the fact that China EB-3 did not progress at all.  Over the course of FY2020 we expect EB-2 to catch up to EB-3 and the two categories to stay roughly   equal. 

India: As with China, the EB-2 and EB-3 dates remain inverted.  There was no material progress in either category.  We expect very little progress in either category in future months.

Philippines:  We remain surprised by the slow progress of EB-3.  The DOS indicated that demand for Adjust of Status cases is tamping down the promotion of dates.  Of course, Philippines EB-3 uses much less Adjust of Status visas than other categories, which makes this explanation suspect.  We still find the EB-3 priority date to be too conservative, but at this point we are no longer predicting as rosy progressions in early 2020.

39 comments:

  1. Good Morning Attorney,

    May I know if when my PD, october 2018, would be current. Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  2. Is it possible that the EB3 Philippines will only move for a week or no movement at all in the next visa bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is possible, but I do not think that is what will happen.

      Delete
  3. Hi Musillo, my PD is April 3 2019 for EB3 Philippines. Will I be current on the next vb? Will there be possible slowing down or retrogression in the coming months due to high demand in EB visa?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No. You will not be current in the next VB. The earliest would be Apr/May 2020, but even that may be too optimistic.

      Delete
  4. Why does EB3 table B remain current for Philippines if the demand continue to increase then? When do you think the July 18 2018 will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree. The Table B "C" is perplexing. This is why I do think that that the EB3 number will progress faster in the upcoming months.

      Delete
  5. Hi My PD is april 17, 2018 Eb3 PH will it be current next VB? Thank You

    ReplyDelete
  6. Guys as stated above. “No prediction” at this time. Just comprehend and be patient.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My PD is June 21, 2018 and right now all i wish is better movement rather than retrogression. Table B with C status still gives me hope.

      Delete
  7. HelloMU,
    Does it mean we expect at least one month movement or the worst less than a month every visa bulletin?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think better than one month, but the DOS' internal numbers are apparently less favorable than our internal projections.

      Delete
  8. Hi! My PD is July 18, 2018. When will i be current. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Good day. My PD is November 15, 2018 EB3 Philippines. When would I possibly become current?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi my PD is May 2019, When do you think will I become current? Im done with visa screen and already completed DS-260 and awaiting for DQ in the coming weeks hopefully. Im planning to accept the job offer I have in UK and wait there till my PD becomes current, Do you think this is a good decision? thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are not signing an employment contract, then I think the UK plan is a good one.

      Delete
  11. Hi MU, my PD is on January 2020?. When will it be possibly current? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Do You mean January 2019?

      Delete
    2. Yes sorry for the year. Its 2019. Thank you

      Delete
    3. Based on the DOS notes, the earliest would be Apr/May 2020.

      Delete
  12. Hi atty, when do you think june 18, 2018 will be current?

    ReplyDelete
  13. my PD is June 28,2018. when will I be current Atty? Hope to hear from you

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hi musillo. Im one of your clients in one agency staffing florida based that you handle. As of now I dont have a facility or hospital yet. My pd is june 7 2018. Are there any possibilities that on the next following months if i am unable to secure a facility/hospital assignment I would be able to miss the chance to proceed with interview in us embassy? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No - securing a facility assignment is not a requirement. The facility is not the employer. The staffing company is the employer. Good luck!

      Delete
  15. Hi attorney, Good day! I would like to ask what does this statement means in the visa bulletin "implementation of Final Action Dates as early as January 2020"

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It means that those categories that are Current may no longer be Current.

      Delete
  16. Good day atty
    Assuming that my pd is current but im still waiting for my I-140 approval, would my pd become current or do i still need to wait for the decision of uscis ? Ty

    ReplyDelete
  17. Good day atty.
    If ever that the eb3 philippines becomes current again, does it mean that all priority dates are current except for those who are still waiting for I-140 approval ? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No. You do not have a priority date until the I-140 is approved.

      Delete
  18. Good day Attorney! When do you think September 26 2018 PD will be current? Thank you so much.

    ReplyDelete