Thursday, November 15, 2018

DECEMBER 2018 VISA BULLETIN: TRENDS AND PREDICTIONS


The Department of State has just issued the December 2018 Visa Bulletin. This is the third Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

December 2018 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.


EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
01JUL17
01SEP16
01SEP16
01JUL17
EB-2
C
01JUL15
01APR09 
C
EB-3
C
08JUN15
01MAR09 
15JUN17    

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
01JUN18
01OCT17
01OCT17
01JUN18
EB-2
C
08SEP15
22MAY09 
C
EB-3
01DEC15
01JAN10 

01AUG17      


MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other, Mexico
: As we expected, the EB-1 category moved several months. We expect continued steady movement in this category for All Other.

China: Likewise, the China EB-1 category progressed several months. This category may not move as fast as All Other in the next few Visa Bulletins. China EB-2 moved two months, although EB-3 only advanced one week. We expect EB-3 to slightly outpace EB-2 in the next few Visa Bulletins.

India: The Indian EB-3 date moved two months, which was more than expected. There is a chance that EB-3 continues to move at this pace for the next few Visa Bulletins. We expect the slow/no progress to be standard for EB-2 in the first part of FY 2019.

Philippines: The EB-3 date again also only moved up by week, which is slower than we would have liked to have seen. While over the course of FY2019, we should eventually see the EB-3 priority date extend into CY2018, we do not expect too much movement in the next few Visa Bulletins.



14 comments:

  1. Hi sir Chris, my PD is June 21,2017 EB3 Philippines. Do you i think I will be current on the Jan 2019 VB?thank you..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I would think you will be current in January '19.

      Delete
  2. Hi sir! When do you think Dec 2017 Pd will move in the Eb3 philippines? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Probably Summer 2019, perhaps a bit earlier.

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    2. Will there be any retrogression that you can see as visa bulletin move along?

      Delete
    3. No - I do not expect retrogression other than the usual Aug/Sept temporary retrogression

      Delete
  3. For October 5, 2017 EB3 Phippines, is it possible to be current by atleast February 2019 onwards vb? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello MU,

    I know it is too early to ask but I really wanted to know when do you think my PD September 2018 Phil. will get current?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  5. DECEMBER 2018 VISA BULLETIN: TRENDS AND PREDICTIONS

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hello MU. I am planning to cross country while waiting for my PD to be current. When do you think will my PD be current? It's March 2018. Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Are you Phils EB3? If so, it will not be current until at least Summer 2019.

      Delete
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