Monday, February 12, 2018

VISA BULLETIN MARCH 2018: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the March 2018 Visa Bulletin.  This is the sixth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2018.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

March 2018 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
C
C
EB-2
C
01DEC13
15DEC08 
C
C
EB-3
15NOV14
01JAN07 

01MAY16       

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
C
C
EB-2
C
01FEB13
08FEB09 
C
C
EB-3
01JAN16
01JAN08 

01OCT16       

MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 is also current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China (mainland-born):  Both China EB-2 and EB-3 favorably progressed, each by two months in Table A.  The China EB-3 remains more favorable than Chinese EB-2.  The odd situation of China EB-3 progressing faster than China EB-2 will remain to be the case for the foreseeable future.  A note at the end of the February Visa Bulletin says that both China EB-2 and  EB-3 should move several months in the near future.

India:  Both India EB-2 and EB-3 progressed.  EB-2 only progressed by one week.  EB-3 moved ahead by 4 weeks.  A note at the end of the February Visa Bulletin says that India EB-3 should move 1-3 months in the near future.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in analysis.

Philippines: The Philippine EB-3 date moved two months, which is its best movement in FY2018. This may reflect the fact that I-485 processing times may slow because of the new I-485 EB interview requirement.  If EB I-485 interview times slow, it will cause the DOS to free up more visas for Consular Processing petitions.  This is also reflected in the fact that EB-3 Table B moved three months.  A note at the end of the February Visa Bulletin says that we should expect one month movements in EB-3. MU is slightly more optimistic than this projection.

35 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  2. at this pace, when do you think my PD will be current (EB3 Phils-May 2017)? thank you

    ReplyDelete
  3. Visa bulletin is very erratic and moves up and down. Only Charles Oppenheimer from state department can accurately predict the movement!

    ReplyDelete
  4. when do you think My PD will be current? My PD is Nov 2016 thanks

    ReplyDelete
  5. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thank you for continously and patiently answering our questions. It is highly appreciated. God bless you!

    ReplyDelete
  7. Is there a chance PD june 2017 will be current before the end of 2018? Thanks so much

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hi..my pd is january 31 , 2017 eb3 phils.when do you think My PD will be current? thanks

    Reply

    ReplyDelete
  9. hi ,
    my pd is 31st dec 2008, india with eb2...when will be my pd will be current ?
    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  10. hi ,
    my pd is 31st dec 2008, india with eb2...when will be my pd will be current ?
    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi, my PD is jan. 25, 2017, EB3 Philippines. When do you think my Pd will be current? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Hello MU,

    I hope PDs for Philippines constantly move like this on next fiscal year.
    Do you think it will slow down again e.g. one month or two weeks per visa bulletin on 2019?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It will slow and speed up from month to month. It is linear in a general sense but no in a specific month.

      Delete
  13. Hello MU,

    My PD Is march 1 2017, for eb3 philippines. When do you think it will be current. Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thank you for always updating us with VB movement trend. 2 of my friends with PD APRIL 2016 just got their packet 4 and ID yesterday. They were surprised for they thought they will be notified around March 2018. Do you think this is a significant indication for a faster VB movement in the next 3 months? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No - I never read too much into a one month fluctuation. Thank you for the kind words on our blog.

      Delete
  15. Hi MU Law,

    My PD is June 17, 2016 EB3 Phil. Do you think it will be current in April or May VB?

    Thank you so much

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It should be current in one of those VBs. It would be a total guess to pick one over the other.

      Delete
  16. HI MU Law,

    I would like to ask regarding my PD Sep. 2016 EB3 Philippines, when do you think it will be current? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Is it the same with those PD of Jan 2017? Somebody asked on top, and you mentioned also Summer 2018.

      Delete
    2. Hi Chiechies: "Summer" encompasses several months: June - September. It could be any of those months. It is impossible to give a more precise estimate. Sept 16 will come before Jan 2017, of course.

      Delete
  17. Hi MU,

    For those whose PD will be current this summer of 2018, do you have an estimate of how long the next phase of processing will take? Will it be another year until we can start working?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It usually about 3-5 months from the date that you are current until your IV is approved.

      Delete
  18. Hello MU,

    I am a Filipino nurse employed in a hospital in London. My current residence is in the UK because of my job. I am a Filipino citizen and hold a Philippine passport.

    A US hospital conducted interviews in London 2 years ago and I was recruited. They applied for an EB3 petition for me through you (MU Law) and my priority date seems close to becoming current.

    I just wanted to ask, when my priority date becomes current, am I going to have my interview in the US embassy in London or in the US embassy in the Philippines?

    And also, am I going to have my medical examination in London or in the Philippines?

    Thank you very much for your help.

    ReplyDelete