Tuesday, January 16, 2018

VISA BULLETIN FEBRUARY 2018: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the February 2018 Visa Bulletin.  This is the fifth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2018.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

February 2018 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
C
C
EB-2
C
01OCT13
08DEC08 
C
C
EB-3
15SEP14
01DEC06 

01MAR16       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 is also current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China (mainland-born):  Both China EB-2 and EB-3 favorably progressed.  EB-2 improved by two months; EB-3 improved by five months.  The China EB-3 remains more favorable than Chinese EB-2.  The odd situation of China EB-3 progressing faster than China EB-2 will remain to be the case for the foreseeable future.

India:  Both India EB-2 and EB-3 progressed.  EB-2 by 2 weeks and EB-3 by 4 weeks, which is about what we expect that the monthly progressions will be in FY 2018.  MU suspects that EB-3 will not progress at any notable rate until at least the India EB-3 date moves past the Visa Gate date of August 2007.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in analysis.

Philippines: The Philippine EB-3 date moved two weeks, which is its average in FY2018. Because of increased demand will expect slower progressions in the FY2018, progressing no more than 1-2 months per Visa Bulletin, unless I-485 processing times.  I-485 processing times may slow because of the new I-485 EB interview requirement.  If EB I-485 interview times slow, it will cause the DOS to free up more visas for Consular Processing petitions.

49 comments:

  1. My PD is May 2016 under EB3 Phils. When do you think it will be current?thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Under Column B (01 August 2016), you are already current. Expect to receive fee bill. You should contact your employer / staffing agency.

      Delete
    2. I mean when will it be current on final action date?thanks

      Delete
    3. It could be current by May 2018 (or earlier), should the movement of 1-2 months continues.

      Delete
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  2. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Good day musillo, i am under eb3 philippines with pd of july 2016. Last november, i have received already the nvc fee bills but up until now my employer have not yet taken any action/s. Will it affect the processing
    of my papers when my pd will be current in the future? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Why haven't the fee bills been paid?

      Delete
    2. i am still trying to contact my agency MU law, i'll update once they have replied.

      Delete
  4. When do you think will it happen for EB3 Philippines? For consular processing to speed up? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    2. There will be no formal announcement. It will just slowly happen.

      Delete
    3. Thank you for your response. When do you think table B or dates of filing will move?

      Delete
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      Delete
  5. Good Day.

    I have PD of November 2016 for EB3 Phillipines, do you think it will be current within this year?

    Thanks and More Power

    ReplyDelete
  6. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Dear MU Law,

    In your opinion, will USCIS open H1-B visas for foreign nurses application to New York considering the state is now requiring bachelor degree for nurses?
    Will they allow BSN degree holders apply for H1-B while waiting for pending EB-3 cases? Thank you and more power!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Mark, Eventually yes -- but not for many years.

      Delete
  8. Dear MU Law,

    My PD is June 2017 EB3 Phil. What would really be the impact the of the new -148 Interview req? Will it be positive or negative in relation to I-140 cases and to my PD. Thank you and More Power!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You are probably still 2 years from your interview.

      Delete
    2. Thank you so much!!!...based on your expert estimates, would it be possible that my PD will be current within this year? Am I right to assume that interview date will be a year after the PD becomes current?

      Delete
    3. You're welcome. No - the interview should happen about 4 months after the PD is current on this chart.

      Delete
  9. My pd is on Sept 26 2016 eb3 Phil, when do u think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi I have read online that there might be a government shutdown? Im honestly not familiar with this. Do you think it would affect my eb3? Im in the visa fee bill stage. My PD is in Jult 2016, how many months before it becomes current? Thanks in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any government shutdown will not materially impact the visa processing.

      Delete
  11. Hi MU,
    I am EB3 India and my PD is current now. My employer is in the process of submitting I 140 for me. Last week I got an email from them saying that "you are now with bookkeeping and your I 140 will be Premium processed. As the posting and prevailing wage seemed to be accepted...". Does that mean my I 140 is submitted ? What does mean by bookkeeping?? Please somebody help me as I am getting very little information from my employer. Please please help me.... Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have no idea what those terms mean. Have you asked them?

      Delete
    2. I have asked them. But they have not replied. When they say posting and prevailing wages accepted, does that mean I 140 s submitted? Thanks MU

      Delete
    3. Hello American Dream! Bit confused with your post. As far as I know, the 1st step for green card petitioning is the application if form I-140. Once approved, you'll be given/assigned your PD. As you have stated that your PD is now current, then why your sponsoring employer is applying you for a i-140 premium processing? Are you sure its i-140 and NOT i-485 (adjustment of status)? Because if your PD is current now, you should have focus on the following stage 1) visa fee bill 2) DS 260 3) collection of civil documents 4) interview. So, I don't really get the connection of bookkeeping??? and 1-140 in your application. Go to USCIS website for more information.

      Delete
    4. Hi SephoriaPlays, Thanks for your reply. My original I 140 was approved 10 years back and then retrogression came into effect. Now my PD is current and I found that my old employer closed down their business. So I had to find a new employer and I did. now they are going to file I 140 for the new job. This is the situation. Thanks

      Delete
  12. Hello Atty MU Law! What is the impact of slowing interview for I-485 (AOS)? Will it be positive for those consular processing applicants? Does it mean more available visas for i-140/consular processing applicants? Please explain nicely. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete

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