Tuesday, November 14, 2017

DECEMBER 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the December 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the third Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2018.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

December 2017 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
C
C
EB-2
C
01JUL13
01NOV08 
C
C
EB-3
08MAR14
15OCT06 

15JAN16       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 is also current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China (mainland-born):  Both China EB-2 and EB-3 progressed about one month.  The China EB-3 remains more favorable than Chinese EB-2.  The odd situation of China EB-3 progressing faster than China EB-2 will remain to be the case for the foreseeable future.

India:  India EB-2 progressed about one month, which is what we except the monthly progressions will be in FY 2018.  Unfortunately, India EB-3 did not move.  Recently, the DOS said that EB-3's progression will be "limited."  MU suspects that EB-3 will not progress at any notable rate until at least the India EB-3 date moves past the Visa Gate date of August 2007.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in analysis.

Philippines: The Philippine EB-3 date stayed in January 2016, reflecting the fact that demand for the Philippine EB-3s recommenced heavy demand in 2016.  This increased demand will be the cause for slower progressions in the FY2018, progressing no more than 1-2 months per Visa Bulletin.

15 comments:

  1. Chris,

    My question 2 months ago about when my Priority date - August 24,2009 -EB-2 India will be current- your opinion was may be October 2018. There are 10000 EB-2 cases between November 2008 and November 2009. With only 2800 allocated for EB-2 India- do you think October 2018 is unrealistic and may be 2022 October is the probable answer?. It’s judt depressing even to wait that long after entering US in 2007. Please advise. Thanks for your time

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree - Oct 2018 may be optimistic. Having said that my sense is that some of the 10,000 have given up and will not take their visa when the number comes up.

      Delete
    2. Thank you Chris. For EB2 India


      Max PD movt per year ..... in last 5 years dates have not moved beyond Nov 2008..... so should I expect expect atleast 6 years for 2009 to clear up

      2017 1st Nov 2008
      2016 22nd Nov 2008
      2015 1st Oct 2008
      2014 May-09
      2013 Jun-08


      That is very scary even to think

      Delete
  2. Hello MU

    do you predict that movement of eb3 Philippines for fiscal year 2019 will be slower?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We think that 2019 will move at same pace as 2018.

      Delete
  3. Hi MU my pd is feb 2017. When do you think it will be current?. Im from the eb3 Philippines category.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi all,
    My PD is current now and my I 140 has been submitted under premium process 14th of this month. Could you or somebody please tell me how long it will take to visa interview? What are the process pending? I need to plan a lot of things like disposing my property, kids education etc. Please help.. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Once your I-140 is approved, if you have a current priority date, it will be 4-6 months until your interview.

      Delete
  5. hi MU, i did not yet received an approval notice of my i-140, is there any chance that my i-140 is rejected .what are the cause of denial. how many months is the processing? thanks again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Have you checked with your attorney? You should ask them.

      Delete
  6. Hi MU,

    My PD is June 2016 under EB3 Philippines. When do you think it will be current?

    Thanks a lot!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi MU,
      My PD is October 2016 under EB3 Phil, when do you think it will be current? Thank you so much!

      Do you see any retrogression for fiscal year 2018? Thanks a lot!

      Delete