Friday, September 9, 2016

OCTOBER 2016 VISA BULLETIN

The Department of State has just issued the October 2016 Visa Bulletin.  This is the first Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017. As the fiscal year begins we are able to make some educated guesses at where the Visa Bulletin will be in the future.

October 2016 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

Employ-
ment
based
All Charge-
ability 
Areas Except
Those Listed
CHINA-
mainland 
born
INDIA
MEXICO
PHILIPPINES
1st
C
C
C
C
C
2nd
C
12FEB12
15JAN07
C
C
3rd
01JUN16
22JAN13
15MAR05
01JUN16
01DEC10


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 progression continues.  For Consular processing cases a June 2016 date is effectively Current.

China:   As expected, these dates moved forward 2+ years.  Unusually, the China EB-3 has a more favorable date than EB-2, although this phenomenon has happened often for China as a result of many Chinese EB-3 workers "upgrading" their applications to EB-2.

India:  EB-2 India had a notable progression from last month.  It will be interesting to see how this date moves forward.  In the Summer of 2007 hundreds of thousands of I-485 Applications were filed a result of VisaGate.  As a result of that bulk of filings, this number could slow in the forthcoming months.
EB-3 had its usual one month forward movement.  

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead by another six months.  The Phillippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all 2010 EB-3 visas in just two months.  This is what we have expected.  (Our note from May 2016: "MU Law believes that Philippines EB-3 will continue to steadily move forward in the coming months. We expect it to move into 2009 in the by early summer, and may reach 2010 by the end of this fiscal year.").  

We expect more of the same fast progression in FY2017 for Philippine EB-3.  We expect that the Philippine EB-3 number will progress at least three years in FY2017.

23 comments:

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  2. @Mindful: It is difficult to say because of the July '07 VisaGate. My guess is that you are probably looking at a 2 year wait.

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  3. Hi MU Law, in the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, there is a section for "VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS". It says for Phil EB3, it is up to three weeks. Do you have any insights on that?

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    1. My sense is that it will move at a faster rate than what they have listed. Those projections are only for the next 2 VBs. There are not many 2011-12 Phils EB3 petitions which is why we are projecting more aggressive moves forward.

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    2. I hope you are correct MU :) Thank you.

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  4. PD is June 2016. When could it probably become current?

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    1. What is your country of birth? If the Philippines, it is probably about 3 years until you are current.

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    2. my priority date is july 2009, EB3, philippines. submitted ds260 and all docs last aug 18,2016. when should i have my interview date

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    3. Sometime in october or november.

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    4. Yes. Philippines. Is 3 years the given least for whatever possible rate the EB3 can move forward for the next VBs?

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    5. @Clyde: I don't understand your question.

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  6. Hi
    My EB3 India is October 2006. How is going to move in future?

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    1. I think that you could be current in the next 2 years

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  7. Hi
    My EB3 India is October 2006. How is going to move in future?

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    1. Unfortunately it will be moving slowly. See our most recent blog on this.

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  8. What about eb3 canada PD august 2016

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    1. You should be current by the end of the year.

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  9. When do you think will eb3 phil reach 2014?

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  10. Hi my Eb3 is feb 2015, philippines. What is your prediction for it? 2017 or 2018 perhaps? Thank you very much

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    1. 2017 is too optimistic. 2018 looks like a good prediction.

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