Monday, January 20, 2020

FEBRUARY 2020 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the February 2020 Visa Bulletin. This is the fifth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

February 2020 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
15DEC18
22MAY17
01JAN15
01DEC18
2nd
C
01JUL15
19MAY09
C
3rd
C
01JAN16
08JAN09
01JUN18

MU Law Analysis

All Other: Although All Other EB-1 has a slight retrogression, the EB-2 category remained current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.  The EB-3 is current, but the DOS expects to implement a retrogression in March.

China: EB-2 did not move, although EB-3 progressed by a month.  The EB-2 and EB-3 each progressed about one month.  Over the course of FY2020 we expect EB-2 and EB-3 to remain within a few months of each other.

India:  There was virtually no progress for India.  We continue to expect very little progress in either category in future months.

Philippines:  We were encouraged by the three-month progression in EB-3.  We remain surprised by the slow progress of EB-3, although we were encouraged by this month’s progression.  We think that there is a chance of continued progression in the next few months, although the enactment of All Other EB-3 retrogression may mean that fewer visas are available for the Philippines.

44 comments:

  1. Hi atty, do you think June 18, 2018 will be current on March 2020 vb?

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  2. Do you think july 30 2018 will be current next Vb?

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  3. October 2019. Do you think there's any chance my PD gets current this year?

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    1. Probably not unfortunately.

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    2. Do you mean by that for fiscal year or the year 2020?

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  4. Hi! When do you think July 19, 2018 will be current? Thanks

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    1. My guess is no later than the summer, hopefully sooner.

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  5. Hi Atty. How about january 2019? Thank you

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    1. Not until the summer at the earliest. Check back with me in June.

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    1. I'm sorry. I don't understand your question.

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  7. Good day, Atty! We were all surprised about the positive movement of the VB. My PD is Dec. 03, 2018, do you think it will be covered for the FY 2020? I know VB it's indeed unpredictable, but hoping for a continuous movement in the coming months. Thank you!

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    Replies
    1. Not until the summer at the earliest. Check back with me in June.

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  8. why most nurses in PH is receiving 221g now? and refuse?

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    Replies
    1. Yes- we have seen that too. We are working on a solution. It appears to be a training issue at PH.

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  9. Are you one of those nurses?

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  10. Replies
    1. Quite a while. Not until 2021 at the earliest.

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  11. Can AILA request for the release of I485 pending inventory

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  12. Also with EB2 India moving 1-3 days per month, am I looking at 4-5 years to get current ? My date is September 21,2009. Thanks

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    1. That is terrible. The system needs more visas.

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    2. Do you foresee that it could take 4-5 years just to cross September 2009? Thanks

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    3. No. I think that it will not be that bad.

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  13. My pd is june 28, 2018. Do you think it will be current on the next VB? Thank you atty

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  14. Hello. I would like to ask when is your prediction for nov 2018 to be current? Thanks

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    1. Probably not until the end of this FY, or early next FY.

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  15. Hello Mu,
    With worldwide retro expected next month,
    When do you think pd for September 2018 PH will be current again?
    thank you

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    1. Probably not until the end of this FY, or early next FY.

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  16. Hello Sir,I'm Canadian but was born in the Philippines, my PD is Sept 6,2018, when do you think it will be current? Thank you very much.

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  18. With the impending eb3 row retrogression, how would this affect those countries with a cut off date already? Ex. Eb3 ph. Will there be any retrogression with these countries as well? I'm really hoping it will still move forward.

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    Replies
    1. Yes- there will be a ROW retrogression in March.

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  19. How about August 1, 2018? Do you think it will be current in the next bulletin? Thank you!

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  20. Good day Atty.
    Is it possible that my PD july 6 2018 eb3 ph be current on the next VB, March 2020 VB? Thanks a lot

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  21. how about March 2019? do you think it will be current soon? thank you

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