Monday, September 23, 2019

OCTOBER 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS


The Department of State has just issued the October 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the first Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

October 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
22APR18
01NOV16
01JAN15
22APR18
2nd
C
01JAN15
12MAY09
C
3rd
C
01NOV15
01JAN09
15OCT17

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES 
1st
01JUL19
01SEP17
15MAR17
01JUL19
2nd
C
01AUG16
01JUL09 
C
3rd
C
01MAR17
01FEB10
C


MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: Although All Other EB-1 has a slight retrogression, the EB-2 and EB-3 categories remained current and are expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China: The EB-2 and EB-3 inverted again, as EB-3 has a favorable priority date than EB-2.  Over the course of FY2020 we expect EB-3 to catch up to EB-2 and the two categories to stay roughly equal.

India: As with China, the EB-2 and EB-3 dates have inverted.  We expect very little progress in either category, although EB-2 may move slightly quicker than EB-3 in future months.

Philippines: We find the implementation of the 15OCT17 priority date puzzling.  This is almost surely a too conservative projection by DOS.  MU expects that this date will rapidly move in the coming months, and could return to current in early 2020.



12 comments:

  1. When do you think that I will be current? April 4, 2018 PD Eb3 Phils?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi just want to ask, are you already documentarily qualified and just waiting for interview? If yes, What month did you become documentarily qualified? Thanks

      Delete
  2. Hi MU,

    I feel so disappointed with the eb3 Philippines.
    When do you think my Pd September 2018 will be current again?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU expects that this date will rapidly move in the coming months, and could return to current in early 2020.

      Delete
  3. Hello MU,
    I am from Phils with on EB3; PD JUNE 14,2018. My last update with NVC was a letter that they received my papers and in line for an interview schedule.


    I would like to ask if Visa Bulletin becomes current, schedule for interview would be asap or waiting for schedule is still unpredictable?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unfortunately you are not current and so nothing will happen.

      Delete
  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  5. how several months they are expecting in movement for Philippines? is it 4-5 months every month till December only?

    ReplyDelete

  6. my PD is Aug 2018, documentary qualified last july 1 2019, when will i get the interview date? do u think i will be current this november VB? Philippines. thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Until you are current, you will not have an interview date unfortunately. MU expects that this date will rapidly move in the coming months.

      Delete
  7. For how long do you think will the trend of current or close to current PDs last?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My sense is throughout 2019 and into 2020.

      Delete