Thursday, June 13, 2019

JULY 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the July 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the tenth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

July 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
22APR18
08MAY17
01JAN15
22APR18
2nd
C
01NOV16
24APR09
C
3rd
C
01JAN16
01JUL09
C

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES 
1st
01SEP18
01OCT17
01OCT17
01SEP18
2nd
C
01FEB17
01JUN09 
C
3rd
C
01JUN16
01APR10
C

MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: The EB-1 category stayed still.  We do not see any retrogression in the future for EB2 or EB3, other than the usual retrogression at the end of the Fiscal Year.

China:  China EB-1 moved three months.  China EB-2 moved 3 months, a fifteen-month progression so far in 2019’s calendar months.  EB-3 also moved ahead about three months -- which reflects continued demand in EB-3, likely related to the many EB-3 “downgrades”.  EB-2 remains superior to EB-3.

India: There was very little movement in any of the Indian categories.  EB-1 will almost surely not move in FY 2019.  We do not expect any significant Indian movement this fiscal year.  Longer term, we are slightly more optimistic about India EB-3, which should progress faster than EB-2.

Philippines: The EB-3 is current!  We do not expect any retrogression in the near future.  Great days for Philippine employment-based nationals.

8 comments:

  1. you think there will be retrogression for philippines on october 2019 ? start of fiscal yr 2020

    ReplyDelete
  2. For those who are already current with both tables, is it still possible for them to be affected with the retrogression (if there's any)? How is that possible?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes. One must be current on the date that they receive their visa. Having said that, I do not expect a retrogression in Phils EB3 in the foreseeable future, other than perhaps for a week in September.

      Delete
  3. Do EB3 Philippines "current" status will last longer until FY 2020? Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes - I do not expect a retrogression in Phils EB3 in the foreseeable future, other than perhaps for a week in September.

      Delete
  4. My P.D. is October 3rd 2006, My final action date is July 1st 2005
    I belong to EB3 (India). Please suggest when I should expect current?
    Thank you
    Regards-Prameela

    ReplyDelete