Wednesday, May 15, 2019

JUNE VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS


The Department of State has just issued the June 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the ninth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

June 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.
  
EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
22APR18
22FEB17
01JAN15
22APR18
EB-2
C
01AUG16
19APR09 
C
EB-3
C
15SEP15
01JUL09 
01NOV18

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
01SEP18
01OCT17
01OCT17
01SEP18
EB-2
C
01NOV16
01JUN09 
C
EB-3
01JAN16
01APR10

01JAN19
  
MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: The EB-1 category moved about 7 weeks.  We expect continued steady movement in this category for All Other.  We do not see any retrogression in the future for EB2 or EB3, other than the usual retrogression at the end of the Fiscal Year.

China: China EB-2 moved 2+ months, moving more than one year so far in 2019’s calendar months.  EB-3 moved ahead half as fast – about three weeks -- which reflects continued demand in EB-3, likely related to the many EB-3 “downgrades”.  EB-2 remains superior to EB-3.

India: There was very little movement in any of the Indian categories.  EB-1 will almost surely not move in FY 2019.  We do not expect any significant Indian movement this fiscal year.  Longer term, we are slightly more optimistic about India EB-3, which should progress faster than EB-2.

Philippines: The EB-3 date leaped again.  It should be into 2019 shortly, and we do not expect any retrogression in the near future. 

20 comments:

  1. hello! i have feb2019 pd philippines. when do u think it will be current? thank u.

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  2. Eb3 Philippines Jan 30, 2019 priority date, do you think it will be current next visa bulletin? Thanks

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    Replies
    1. Both of you could be current by next month.

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    1. You should email your attorney. This is a very specific issue and a reply is unsuitable on the blog.

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    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  6. My priority date is November 2010 EB-2 India. When do you think it will be current

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  7. My PD is Dec. 3, 2018 and I am current in Table B. Do you think my PD will be current for Table A for July VB?

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  8. Hello. My priority date is November 15, 2018 EB-3 (Philippines). Since the priority date has been moving constantly in the last few months, some say there will be a retrogression soon. Is this true? Thank you.

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    Replies
    1. No - I do not think that there will be a retrogression, other than perhaps in September for a few weeks.

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    2. My situation is this, I'm currently working as a nurse in the United Kingdom. According to my agency, I will be having my medical exam and embassy interview in Manila and I should be resigned from my work during that time. My concern is that when I resign from my work and while waiting for the embassy interview and a retrogression happens.

      Bottom line, I want to ask when will my application become "safe" and not be affected by retrogression in case that happens? Does a schedule for embassy interview protect me from retrogression? Thank you

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    3. Only receiving the visa itself makes you safe.

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  9. Hi MU my 1-140 eb3 got denied and will reapply asap. Will i be able to retain my priority date? Or will i start from square one? Thank u!

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  10. Hi musillo, since eb3 phils will be current by july 2019 and prediction is that it will stay current throughout summer, after that probably by oct or nov 2019, will there be a massive retrogression? thanks :D

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    Replies
    1. No - I do not expect a massive retrogression.

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