Tuesday, April 16, 2019

MAY 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS


The Department of State has just issued the May 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the eighth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

May 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.
  
EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
01MAR18
22FEB17
22FEB17
01MAR18
EB-2
C
15MAY16
16APR09 
C
EB-3
C
22AUG15
22JUN09 
01JUN18

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
PHILIPPINES    
EB-1
01SEP18
01OCT17
01OCT17
01SEP18
EB-2
C
01SEP16
01JUN09 
C
EB-3
01JAN16
01APR10

01OCT18
  
MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: The EB-1 category moved one month.  We expect continued steady movement in this category for All Other.  We do not see any retrogression in the future for EB2 or EB3, other than the usual retrogression at the end of the Fiscal Year.

China: China EB-2 moved six weeks, moving about one year in 2019’s calendar months.  EB-3 moved ahead half as fast – about three weeks -- which reflects continued demand in EB-3, likely related to the many EB-3 “downgrades”.

India: There was very little movement in any of the Indian categories.  EB-1 will almost surely not move in FY 2019.  We are slightly more optimistic about India EB-3, which should continue to progress faster than EB-2.

Philippines: The EB-3 date showed great progress, improving three more months.  This continues a great year for EB3.  We expect continued accelerated progress in June’s Visa Bulletin.


16 comments:

  1. Hello! my pd is feb2019 philippines. when do u think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Musillo, When will be my Proirity date will be current? Im under EB3 philippines and my priority date is November 2018. Thank you

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  3. hi do you think there will be no retrogression in august or september? end of Fiscal year of 2019

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes- there always is. It is NOTHING to be concerned about.

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  4. Hi. My EB3 application was approved 2006. If my PD will be recaptured, how long will the process take? Thank you.

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    Replies
    1. It depends on how good your lawyer and petitioner are at the process. You should ask them.

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  5. EB2 India moved to April 16,2009. Your chart shows April 12,2009

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Great catch and thank you. I have edited the chart with the correct date.

      Delete
  6. When do you think EB2 India will cross August 2009

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unfortunately, I don't think for awhile -- probably until 2010. There are many India EB2 visa in the total queue, approx. 400-500,000.

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    2. Hi, did you mean 2020? Also you mentioned 400-500000????. Thanks

      Delete
  7. My PD IS June 26 2018 under EB 3 Philippines. When will become current?

    ReplyDelete