Monday, June 18, 2018

JULY 2018 VISA BULLETIN: LATEST UPDATE AND ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the July 2018 Visa Bulletin.  This is the tenth  Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2018.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

July 2018 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
01JAN12
01JAN12
C
C
EB-2
C
01JAN15
01MAR09 
C
C
EB-3
01JAN13
01NOV08 

01JAN17      

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
01JAN12 
C
C
EB-2
C
01APR15
22MAY09 
C
C
EB-3
01JAN16
01MAY09 

01JUL17       

MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 is also current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China (mainland-born):  As often happens as we get closer to the end of the fiscal year, each categories moves with a higher variance than is usual.  We expect that China EB-1 and EB-3 are essentially fully used, which means that there will be no numbers until after October 1, 2018.  On the other hand, the China EB-2 number progressed about 6 months, reflecting than "downgrade" demand that has occurred in the last several years. 

India:  As with China, the retrogression of India EB-1 probably means that there will not be a forward progression until after October 1, 2018.  EB-2 and EB-3 continued their steady progress.  Rumors are flying around the internet about a massive progression of EB-3.  We expect steady progressions for Indian EB-3, reflecting lower demand for these visas in 2008-09.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in analysis.

Philippines: Phils EB-3 stayed the same.  As with China EB-1 and EB-3, and India EB-1, this probably means no forward progression until October 1, 2018, when the new fiscal year begins.  There is a minimal chance of a small progression in the next few months.

19 comments:

  1. hi MU Law. you mentioned Phils EB-3 retrogressed six months, but I do not see it in the chart relative to last month’s visa bulletin. Which chart were you pertaining to? just needed some clarification.

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  2. Thanks for the catch. I have corrected above.

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  3. Hi MU law..PD Jan. 25,2017 EB3 Phils..is there any chance I will be current in AUG VB? Thanks

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    Replies
    1. It seems unlikely to me, but it could theoretically happen.

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  4. I do not see it in the chart relative to last month’s visa bulletin. Which chart were you pertaining to?








    ร้านบิวตี้

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  5. The chart for last month is here: http://www.musillo.com/2018/05/june-2018-visa-bulletin-latest-update.html

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  6. Hi MU Law!! My priority date is 3/16/17 and my I-140 was approved and was just sent to department of state last june 19, 2018. Approximately how long will I have to wait before I will be scheduled for a visa interview at a US embassy. Thankyou

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    Replies
    1. Hi, Have you got a case number from NVC?? My I 140 was approved on May2nd and last week when I enquired with NVC, they said they have not received it yet. I don't know what to do. Any help..??

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  7. 3-5 months until your interview. Good luck!

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  8. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  9. Hi Mu
    Im so gratetful about this site. thank you for giving us hope through your updates. I would like to as my eb3 Ph is Feb 7 2017, when do you think I will have my medical and interview in us embassy? I already submitted my ds260

    thank you!

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    Replies
    1. While I think that there is a chance that it happens this summer, I think that it is more likely toward the end of 2018.

      Thanks for the kind words!

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  10. I think June,2017 will gonna be current next year. Right?

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  11. Hi MU Law,

    My employer responded to the RFE for my i-140 petition last June 15. Last July 5, my status changed to "case was forwarded to department of state for visa processing" I wonder what does that mean. Does this mean my case is approved? There was no notification on their decision.

    Thank you MU law.

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    Replies
    1. Yes- this usually means that the case is approved. If the case was only decided on July 5, it will take 1=2 weeks until the actual hard copy approval arrives in the mail. Congratulations!

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  12. Thank you MU Law. I shall await for the approval notice. Now the waiting game begins.

    PS. Your blog is an inspiration. Keep it coming

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  13. Very kind of you to say this, Mark.

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  14. Hi MU been following your blog regularly
    My i140's PD is sept 19, 2016, currently Ne Scv Ctr's PD is dec 14, 2017. I haven't received any notification as of now, nor the status changed, what's the usual turn around time for this kind of process? Thanks!

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