Thursday, December 14, 2017

VISA BULLETIN JANUARY 2018: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the January 2018 Visa Bulletin.  This is the fourth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2018.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

January 2018 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL'PNES    
EB-1
C
C
C
C
EB-2
C
01AUG13
22NOV08 
C
C
EB-3
15APR14
01NOV06 

15FEB16       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 is also current and is expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China (mainland-born):  Both China EB-2 and EB-3 progressed about one month.  The China EB-3 remains more favorable than Chinese EB-2.  The odd situation of China EB-3 progressing faster than China EB-2 will remain to be the case for the foreseeable future.

India:  Both India EB-2 and EB-3 progressed about two weeks, which is about what we expect that the monthly progressions will be in FY 2018.  MU suspects that EB-3 will not progress at any notable rate until at least the India EB-3 date moves past the Visa Gate date of August 2007.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in analysis.

Philippines: The Philippine EB-3 date moved one month, after not moving in the December 2017 Visa Bulletin.  Because of increased demand will expect slower progressions in the FY2018, progressing no more than 1-2 months per Visa Bulletin.

38 comments:

  1. Hi MU, my PD is July 2016 EB3 Philippines, when do you think it will b current? THANKS and God Bless!

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  2. Hi my Pd is June 2017 when it'll be current?

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  3. My ielts cert will expire on August 2019, do I need to take another one just incase it will expires while waiting my PD will be current but I already have visa screen cert.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As far as I know, once visa screen expired, the candidate should retake English test in order to reapply for new visa screen.

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    2. As long as the Visa Screen is valid at the time of your consular appointment you will be fine, even if the ICETS cert has expired.

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  4. My PD for eb3 Philippines is Feb. 22, 2016 which is not yet current. However, employer has already paid the visa fee and submitted all the necessary civil documents 3 months ago. Supposedly, I'll be current next month and my papers will be documentarily qualified, does it mean the NVC can schedule me for US interview? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Actually, NVC will email you ahead of time or one month ahead before your PD become current, telling you that they are now processing your visa case. This is the process:

      Step 1: Choice of agent- allow up to 3 weeks for approval
      step 2: Pay fees- 1 week
      step 3: Ds260 application
      step 4: collecting civil docs
      step5: collecting supporting documents
      step6: submit financial and supporting docs
      *allow NVC to review your documents for 11 weeks, once DQed, they will schedule your embassy interview and the waiting time to get an appointment is within 3 months from the time you have been DQed.
      *all you need to do is to pray that VISA bulletin will keep moving so that your case will be processed by them
      *you can track your case @ ceac.state.gov for as long as you know the details of your application

      Yes, they will schedule your interview for as long as you have complete requirements and your PD is still current by that time.

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    2. Thanks RN 08 for your detailed explanation.

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  5. Visa screen is valid for 5 yrs

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Correct - Visa Screen is valid for 5 years

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  6. Is it possible for an applicant to be DQed before you become current? Eg. DQ now but PD is still April 1 2016? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't understand what you mean by DQ'd? Please give me an example.

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    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    3. NVC will not process your application unless your PD is current. You can't be document qualified without undergoing series of steps provided by the NVC. If NVC foresees that your PD will become current, you will receive instructions from them

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  7. Documentary Qualified. Sorry for the confusion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A-ha. No - the NVC will not start your case until the PD is current.

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    2. I'm confused Mr. MU Law. I thought NVC can start collecting documents and review them ahead of time as long as you're current on the 2nd table [that is the date of filing (DOF)]. So, even if papers are already documentarily qualified but PD is NOT current (which is the 1st table / final action date), the NVC cannot schedule date of interview. The interview can only be arrange once PD is current. I highly appreciate if you could kindly correct my understanding. Thanks!

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    3. The NVC can begin to review documents. Once they start reviewing it taks about 11 weeks for the NVC to finalize the review. If there are no documentary problems, the NVC will schedule the appointment at the embassy.

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    4. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  8. Hi musillo, my pd is Sep. 12, 2016 EB3 Philippines. When do you think it will be current? Thank you so much & happy holidays!

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  9. Pardon me, pls enlighten me. So once PD is current in DOF you can already send documents for them to review it? Then wait until your PD is current in Final action? Is this applicable as well for Change of status? Thank you so much sorry for too much question.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Change of status does not go to NVC.

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    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    3. I mean adjustment of Status. For Adjustment of status do we need to follow the Date of Filing chart?

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  10. My PD is Nov 2010 [EB 2 - India]. When do you anticipate it to be current?

    ReplyDelete
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  12. is it possible that if i had received my i797c that my priority date is nearly current?

    ReplyDelete
  13. is it possible that if i had received my i797c that my priority date is nearly current?

    ReplyDelete
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