Monday, July 11, 2016

AUGUST 2016 VISA BULLETIN: UNSURPRISING SURPRISES

The Department of State has just issued the August 2016 Visa Bulletin.  This is the eleventh Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2016. As the fiscal year winds down, the last few Visa Bulletins always have some surprises.  

This Visa Bulletin is no exception.  Some dates progressed favorably.  Other dates retrogressed.  Rest assured that these changes are temporary. 

In this Visa Bulletin, the US DOS confirmed that everything will go back to "normal" on October 1, 2016, the start of the next fiscal year.

August 2016 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).
Employment- 
based
All Chargeability 
Areas Except
Those Listed
CHINA-
mainland 
born
INDIAMEXICOPHILIPPINES 
1stC01JAN1001JAN10CC
2nd01FEB1401JAN1015NOV04 01FEB1401FEB14
3rd15MAR1601JAN1008NOV0415MAR1615MAY09

MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The retrogression of the EB-2 category simply means that the DOS approved more cases than it expected to in FY2016.  The EB-3 moved forward by two weeks.  These dates continue to be very favorable.  We expect that All Other dates will continue to be positive for the foreseeable future, starting on October 1, 2016.

China:   A note in this month's Visa Bulletin indicates that these dates will stay at January 2010 for the September 2010's Visa Bulletin.  

India:  EB-3 moved ahead a few weeks.  But the EB-2 remained stuck in 2004.  We expect the India EB-2 to stay in 2004 until the October 2016 Visa Bulletin at which time it should steadily move forward.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead three more months. The note in this month's Visa Bulletin indicated that the EB-3 date should move through 2009 and may move into 2010 by September, as MU Law has been expecting.  (Our note from May 2016: "MU Law believes that Philippines EB-3 will continue to steadily move forward in the coming months. We expect it to move into 2009 in the by early summer, and may reach 2010 by the end of this fiscal year.").  The enactment of a Feb 2014 in EB-2 is of no concern.  Philippine EB-2 will be current in October 2016.

20 comments:

  1. gud analysis MU! thank u so much and happy anniversary!.more power!

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  2. This is a great analysis, hope that your prediction will come true. Eb3 phil Pd Jan 11 2010 we are positive that it will be current later this year and have our consular interview early next year and will come to US soon. Feeling excited.

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  3. is there any chance it will bring back fast movement of priority date?

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  4. Hi Arlane- In which category?

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    2. EB3 for nurses... thanks for your reply :)

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    3. I think that Oct 2016-Oct 2017 will move quickly. What is your PD?

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  5. What is the implication of the new date of filing to the priority date of the next visa bulletin? Thank you

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    1. The next Visa Bulletin will also be unusual. Do not read too much into it. The October 2016 will be "normal". I am readying an FAQ that you may find interesting.

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  8. gud day sir, how about Dec 2014 pd? when it will be current?

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  9. My sense is that Dec 2014 (Phils) will be current in 2018.

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  10. Hi sir, good day! How about feb 2014, when do yiu think this pd will be current? Do you think this will be currnet in the early part of 2018 fiscal year?Thank you!

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    1. Yes - my read is that the 2014 PDs will be current in 2018

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  11. Good day sir! Pd May 2013 under Eb3 philippines. Most probably when it will be current? Thank you so much!

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    1. Late 2017 / early 2018. Thanks for reading, Larose28.

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    2. Chris, may I know what happened to April 2015 Visa buliteen where in the PD reached Oct 2014? Is there a chance that it will speed up again this immigration year 2017 since there are few EB3 applications from the Philippines from 2010 and onwards. Thanks

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