Sunday, January 10, 2016

FEBRUARY 2016 VISA BULLETIN: PREDICTIONS AND ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the February 2016 Visa Bulletin.  This is the fifth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2016. 

February 2016 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).


Employment- Based
All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed
CHINA - mainland bornINDIAMEXICOPHILIPPINES
1stCCCCC
2ndC01MAR1201AUG08CC
3rd01OCT1501OCT1215JUN0401OCT1508JAN08

MU Law Analysis

All: These dates continue to be very favorable.  We expect that All Other dates will continue to be positive for the foreseeable future.

China: EB-2 progressed by one month. EB-3 has progressed almost one year in just the last few months.  This is great news for this category.

India: EB-2 jumped again. Four months ago it was 01MAY05. This represents a three-plus year movement in just four months.  This trend may continue. EB-3 moved four weeks.  Our sense is that EB3 will only move by weeks in the forthcoming months.

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead two more months. MU Law believes that Philippines EB-3 will continue to steadily move forward in the coming months.  We expect it to get into 2009 in the by this spring or early summer.


Dates of Filing

Applications with these priority dates should see their Consular Process application progress.  The USCIS may allow filing of the I-485 Adjustment of Status, provided that the USCIS issues its monthly authorization


Employment-
Based
All Chargeability
Areas Except
Those Listed
CHINA-
mainland
born
INDIAMEXICOPHILIPPINES
1stCCCCC
2ndC01JAN1301JUL09CC
3rd01JAN1601OCT1301JUL0501JAN1601JAN10

MU Law Analysis

The Dates of Filing chart did not materially change from October or November 2015. This is not a surprise. The USCIS and Department of State have been sued in response to the September 2015 revised Visa Bulletin.

Our analysis is the same as described in our October 10, 2015 blog post.

8 comments:

  1. Hi Mu Law, Based on ur prediction above PD April 6, 2009 might be current come Aprill-June 2016?
    Assuming it become current but the VS still on process of renewal can we still undergo Embassy Interview?
    What if the PD retrogress again after few months and were about to submit the renewed VS. Can they still issue the visa?
    Thanks in advance.

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  3. Hi Emer- No. The GC cannot be issued if you do not have the Visa Screen. Both of these must happen for the GC to be issued: (1) valid VS and (2) current priority date

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  4. Hi Mu Law, Thanks for the prompt response. We can undergo interview but no visa will be issue until I submitted the VS.

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  5. My suggestion is that you postpone the interview until you have the VS in hand,

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  6. @ MU Law, Noted. Will take ur advise. Thank you and God Bless

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  7. You're welcome Emer. Good luck!

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  8. Good morning Sir,

    I would like to ask on whats your prediction for the next fiscal year ceiling Priority Date. I guess this year we will only be until 2010. My PD is 2014 Dec. I have an advance degree here in the US and I would like to port to EB2. But Im hesitant to risk on the Labor cert.

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