MU Lawyers were at AILA’s annual convention in Boston last week. In discussing the Visa Bulletin with several attorneys, and piecing together some information from DOS officials, here are our unofficial projections for the remainder of Fiscal Year 2014, which ends September 30, 2014.
EB-1 is expected to stay current through the Fiscal Year.
China: Chinese EB-2 numbers could progress, although it does not appear that it will move too quickly.
India: Indian EB-2 numbers jumped dramatically between May and June 2014, progressing nearly four years to September 2008. Our sense is that the Indian EB-2 number will continue to stay in 2008, and will continue to progress because the DOS does not want a single visa to go unused in this category. The number may temporarily become unavailable in September 2014, which is common.
All Other: All other EB-2 should remain Current for the remainder of the Fiscal Year.
China: Chinese EB-3 numbers have been on a wild ride this year. They were into 2012 for much of the year before a massive retrogression in June. There is a sense that the DOS is unsure just how many numbers are needed. MU Law’s read is that the number will progress this summer, perhaps several years. Again, the DOS is trying to insure that all numbers in this category are used.
India: The DOS has this category accurately projected. As a result India EB-3 will continue its very slow progression.
Philippines: It seems unlikely that this number will get into 2010. That having been said, the number should progress steadily in FY 2015.
All Other: The DOS tapped the breaks on this number in June, stalling it at April 2011. MU Law’s sense is that the number will progress before becoming temporarily unavailable later in the Summer.