The Department of State’s Visa
Bulletin guru, Charlie Oppenheim, hosts monthly
meetings with the American Immigration Lawyers Association. Charlie Oppenheim is the Department of
State’s Chief of the Control and Reporting Division. He is the officer who is
responsible for producing the Visa Bulletin each month.
This month’s Check In With Charlie
featured projections for EB-2 and EB-3, which are the most popular categories for
readers of this Blog. Here are some of
this month’s highlights, along with our analysis:
EB-2 Worldwide. The
Worldwide EB-2 should return to current in October and remain there for the
rest of this calendar year.
EB-2 India. This category is
expected to use the full allotment of visas in September, which may result in
the category becoming temporarily unavailable.
Charlie hopes to advance the final action date to December 2008 in the
1Q 2018. It may advance into 2009 at
some point in late FY2018.
EB-2 and EB-3 China. In FY2018, EB-2 and EB-3 will return to the
prior inverted condition where China EB-3 has a smaller retrogression than
China EB-3. History tells us that this
leads to China EB-3 “downgrades”.
EB-3 Worldwide. This
category will remain current or close to current for the foreseeable future.
EB-3 India. This category
will advance about one retrogress month by one real calendar month in FY
2018.
EB-3 Philippines. It is not
expected that FY2018 will be as positive as FY2017 was to this category. Charlie speculates, and Musillo Unkenholt can
confirm based on our internal metrics, that progressions will slow in
FY2018. We expect an average of about a 1.5-2-year
retrogression in FY 2018.